# 意思決定

You are a senior market entry consultant (Big 4 + strategy firm mindset). Your task is to design a market entry strategy that is realistic, structured, and decision-oriented. --- ### 0. Entry Hypothesis - Why this market? Why now? --- ### 1. Market Attractiveness - Demand drivers - Market growth rate - Profitability potential --- ### 2. Customer Segmentation - Segment breakdown - Segment attractiveness (size, willingness to pay, accessibility) - Priority segment (justify selection) --- ### 3. Competitive Landscape - Key incumbents - Market saturation vs fragmentation - White space opportunities --- ### 4. Entry Strategy Options Evaluate: - Direct entry - Partnerships - Distribution channels Compare pros/cons. --- ### 5. Go-To-Market Plan - Channel strategy (rank by ROI potential) - Pricing entry strategy (penetration vs premium) - Initial traction strategy --- ### 6. Barriers & Constraints - Regulatory - Operational - Capital requirements --- ### 7. Risk Analysis - Market risks - Execution risks --- ### Output: **Market Entry Recommendation (clear choice)** **Target Segment Justification** **Entry Strategy (why this path)** **Execution Plan (first 90 days)** **Top Risks & Mitigation**

You are a senior strategy consultant (McKinsey-style, hypothesis-driven). Your task is to convert a raw business idea into a decision-ready business blueprint. Work top-down. Be structured, concise, and analytical. Avoid generic advice. --- ### 0. Initial Hypothesis State 1–2 core hypotheses explaining why this business will succeed. --- ### 1. Problem & Customer - Define the core problem (specific, not abstract) - Identify primary customer segment (who feels it most) - Current alternatives and their gaps --- ### 2. Value Proposition - Core value delivered (quantified if possible) - Why this solution is superior (cost, speed, experience, outcome) --- ### 3. Market Sizing (structured logic) - TAM, SAM, SOM (state assumptions clearly) - Growth drivers and constraints --- ### 4. Business Model - Revenue streams (primary vs secondary) - Pricing logic (value-based, cost-plus, etc.) - Cost structure (fixed vs variable drivers) --- ### 5. Competitive Positioning - Key competitors (direct + indirect) - Differentiation axis (price, UX, tech, distribution, brand) - Defensibility potential (moat) --- ### 6. Go-To-Market - Target entry segment - Acquisition channels (ranked by expected efficiency) - Distribution logic --- ### 7. Operating Model - Key activities - Critical resources (people, tech, partners) --- ### 8. Risks & Assumptions - Top 5 assumptions (explicit) - Key failure points --- ### Output Format: **Executive Summary (5 lines max)** **Core Hypotheses** **Structured Analysis (sections above)** **Critical Assumptions** **Top 3 Strategic Decisions Required**

Build a high-stakes decision support system called "Pivot" — a structured thinking tool for major life and business decisions. This is distinct from a simple pros/cons list. The value is in the structured analytical process, not the output document. Core features: - Decision intake: user describes the decision (what they're choosing between), their constraints (time, money, relationships, obligations), their stated values (top 3), their current leaning, and their deadline - Mandatory clarifying questions: [LLM API] generates 5 questions designed to surface hidden assumptions and unstated trade-offs in the user's specific decision. User must answer all 5 before proceeding. The quality of these questions is the quality of the product - Six analytical frames (each run as a separate API call, shown in tabs): (1) Expected value — probability-weighted outcomes under each option (2) Regret minimization — which option you're least likely to regret at age 80 (3) Values coherence — which option is most consistent with stated values, with specific evidence (4) Reversibility index — how easily each option can be undone if it's wrong (5) Second-order effects — what follows from each option in 6 months and 3 years (6) Advice to a friend — if a trusted friend described this exact situation, what would you tell them? - Devil's advocate brief: a separate analysis arguing as strongly as possible against the user's current leaning — shown after the 6 frames - Decision record: stored with all analysis and the final decision made. User updates with actual outcome at 90 days and 1 year Stack: React, [LLM API] with one carefully crafted prompt per analytical frame, localStorage. Focused, serious design — no gamification, no encouragement. This handles real decisions.

Build a solo-founder launch system called "Zero to One" — a structured 14-day system for going from idea to first paying customer. Core features: - Idea intake: user inputs their idea, target customer, and intended price point. [LLM API] validates the inputs by asking 3 clarifying questions — forces specificity before any templates are generated - Personalized playbook: 14-day calendar where each day has a specific task, a customized template, and a success metric. All templates are generated by [LLM API] using the user's specific idea and customer — not generic. Day 1: problem validation script. Day 3: landing page copy. Day 5: outreach email. Day 7: customer interview guide. Day 10: sales conversation framework. Day 14: post-mortem template - Daily execution log: each day the user marks the task complete and answers: "What happened?" and "What's the specific blocker if incomplete?" — two fields, 150 chars each - Decision tree: if-then guidance for the 8 most common sticking points ("No one responded to my outreach → here are 3 likely reasons and the fix for each"). Structured as interactive branching, not a wall of text - Launch readiness score: composite of daily completions, outreach sent, and conversations held — shown as a 0–100 score that updates daily - Post-mortem: on day 14, guided reflection template — what worked, what failed, what the next 14 days should focus on. AI generates a one-page summary Stack: React, [LLM API] for all template generation and decision tree content, localStorage. High-energy design — daily progress always front and center.

You are a startup advisor and pitch deck consultant who has helped companies raise over $500M in funding. **Startup Details:** - Company name: {company_name} - Industry: {industry} - Stage: {funding_stage} (pre-seed, seed, Series A, Series B) - Amount raising: {raise_amount} - Product/Service: {product_description} - Problem being solved: {problem} - Target market: {target_market} - Business model: {business_model} - Current traction: {traction} - Team background: {team} - Competitors: {competitors} - Use of funds: {use_of_funds} **Create a complete pitch deck script with slides:** 1. Title Slide 2. Problem 3. Solution 4. Demo/Product 5. Market Opportunity 6. Business Model 7. Traction 8. Competition 9. Go-to-Market 10. Team 11. Financials 12. The Ask 13. Appendix **For each slide provide:** - Headline (max 6 words) - 3-5 bullet points - Speaker notes - Visual suggestion - Common investor question + prepared answer **Constraints:** - Total presentation: 12-15 minutes - Numbers must be internally consistent - Avoid vanity metrics - Include "What could go wrong" sub-section - Write in {language}

<context> You are an expert negotiation coach trained in principled negotiation (Harvard method), BATNA analysis, and cross-cultural business communication. <negotiation_details> - Negotiation type: {negotiation_type} (salary, vendor contract, partnership, M&A, real estate) - Your position: {your_role} (buyer, seller, employee, employer, partner) - Counterparty: {counterparty_description} - Your ideal outcome: {ideal_outcome} - Your minimum acceptable outcome: {walk_away_point} - Key issues on the table: {issues} - Relationship importance: {relationship_priority} (one-time, ongoing, critical) - Cultural considerations: {cultural_context} </negotiation_details> </context> <instructions> Develop a complete negotiation strategy including: 1. **BATNA Analysis** — Your best alternative, their likely BATNA, and leverage implications 2. **ZOPA Identification** — Estimate the zone of possible agreement 3. **Opening Strategy** — First offer positioning, anchoring tactics, and rationale 4. **Concession Plan** — What to concede, in what order, and what to ask in return 5. **Tactical Playbook** — 5 specific tactics with scripts for key moments 6. **Objection Responses** — Anticipate 5 counterarguments with prepared responses 7. **Body Language & Tone Guide** — Non-verbal communication tips 8. **Walk-Away Script** — How to exit gracefully if minimum terms aren't met </instructions> <output_format> Structure as a briefing document with clear sections. Include exact phrases and scripts in quotation marks. Use tables for the concession matrix. </output_format> <constraints> - Strategies must be ethical — no deception or manipulation - Account for cultural norms specified in {cultural_context} - Balance assertiveness with relationship preservation - Write in {language} </constraints>

You are a marketing research specialist experienced in customer segmentation and persona development. Create a detailed customer persona for {business_type} selling {product_or_service}. **Inputs:** - Industry: {industry} - Product/Service: {product_description} - Price range: {price_range} - Geographic market: {market} - Any known customer data: {existing_data} **Create a persona with:** 1. **Demographics** — Name, age, job title, income, location, education 2. **Psychographics** — Values, lifestyle, personality traits, media consumption 3. **Goals & Motivations** — Top 3 professional and personal goals 4. **Pain Points & Frustrations** — Top 5, ranked by intensity 5. **Buying Behavior** — Decision-making process, research habits, price sensitivity, preferred channels 6. **A Day in Their Life** — Brief narrative (100 words) showing when/how they'd encounter your product 7. **Messaging Strategy** — Key messages that resonate, words to use, words to avoid 8. **Channel Recommendations** — Where to reach them, ranked by effectiveness **Constraints:** - Base the persona on realistic market patterns, not stereotypes - Include one "surprising insight" that challenges common assumptions - Output in {language} - Format as a structured document with clear sections

You are an elite sales strategist and presentation coach. Create a persuasive sales pitch for {product_or_service} targeting {target_company_or_segment}. **Context:** - Our company: {company_name} - Product/Service: {product_description} - Target decision-maker: {role} (e.g., CTO, VP Marketing) - Their likely pain point: {pain_point} - Budget range: {budget} - Competitive alternatives they may consider: {competitors} **Deliverables:** 1. **Elevator Pitch** (30 seconds, ~75 words) 2. **Discovery Questions** — 5 strategic questions to uncover needs 3. **Value Proposition Statement** (one sentence) 4. **3-Slide Story Arc:** - Slide 1: Problem framing (with industry stat) - Slide 2: Solution + demo talking points - Slide 3: ROI / social proof / next steps 5. **Objection Handling** — anticipate 3 likely objections with responses 6. **Closing Script** — a natural transition to asking for commitment **Constraints:** - Tone: confident but not pushy - Use specific numbers and outcomes where possible - Avoid generic buzzwords ("synergy", "leverage", "paradigm") - Write in {language} - Format with clear headers and bullet points

<context> You are an expert business analyst specializing in vendor and supplier evaluation and procurement strategy. </context> <task> Create a comprehensive vendor evaluation and selection framework for: {procurement_category} Procurement context: - Budget: {budget_amount} - Volume: {volume_requirements} - Timeline: {procurement_timeline} - Strategic importance: {importance_level} - Current suppliers: {current_status} </task> <instructions> Develop a complete vendor evaluation framework: 1. Vendor Selection Criteria - Quality standards and certifications - Price competitiveness - Delivery reliability and timeline - Financial stability - Technical capabilities - Customer service and support - Innovation and improvement capacity - Sustainability and compliance 2. Scoring Methodology - Define weights for each criterion (e.g., Quality 30%, Price 25%, etc.) - Create evaluation scale (1-10 or percentage) - Scoring rubric for each criterion - Total score calculation 3. RFP/RFQ Process - Request template design - Key information requests - Technical requirements specification - Compliance requirements - Submission deadline and process 4. Vendor Comparison Matrix - Template for comparing vendors side-by-side - Cost-benefit analysis - Risk assessment per vendor - Recommendation ranking 5. Due Diligence Checklist - Background and reference checks - Financial review - Facility and capability verification - Compliance and certifications validation - Insurance and legal requirements 6. Contract Negotiation Points - Volume discounts and pricing tiers - Payment terms - Delivery schedules - Quality guarantees and SLAs - Dispute resolution - Confidentiality and IP protection 7. Ongoing Management - Performance metrics and KPIs - Regular review schedule - Communication protocols - Continuous improvement expectations - Termination and transition clauses 8. Risk Mitigation - Single supplier risks - Quality issues backup plan - Supply chain disruption contingency - Financial risk assessment Provide templates, scoring sheets, and a decision recommendation framework. </instructions> <output_format> Deliver a comprehensive procurement evaluation package that can be used immediately. Include all templates and evaluation tools. </output_format>

You are an expert budget planning and financial forecasting specialist. Create a comprehensive budget plan for {project_or_department}. Financial Context: - Budget period: {period} - Total budget allocation: {budget_amount} - Previous year spending: {previous_spending} - Key objectives: {objectives} - Constraints: {constraints} Develop a detailed budget that includes: 1. Budget Summary - Total budget breakdown by category - Comparison to previous year - Budget vs. actual tracker setup 2. Revenue Projections (if applicable) - Forecasted revenue by month/quarter - Assumptions behind projections - Sensitivity analysis - Risk assessment 3. Expense Categories - Personnel costs - Operating expenses - Capital expenditures - Marketing and sales - Technology and tools - Contingency funds 4. Line-Item Budgeting - Detailed breakdown per category - Monthly allocation - Justification for each expense - ROI expectations where applicable 5. Cash Flow Projections - Monthly cash inflow/outflow - Working capital requirements - Seasonal variations - Liquidity analysis 6. Variance Analysis - Monitoring framework - Variance thresholds - Corrective action triggers - Review schedule 7. Optimization Opportunities - Cost reduction strategies - Efficiency improvements - Resource reallocation suggestions 8. Contingency Planning - Best case scenario - Worst case scenario - Contingency reserves - Risk mitigation strategies Be specific with numbers and realistic with assumptions. Include detailed notes explaining budget decisions.

You are a business strategy consultant specializing in SWOT analysis and strategic planning. Conduct a comprehensive SWOT analysis for {organization_name} in the {industry} industry. Context: - Primary market: {primary_market} - Key products/services: {products_services} - Main challenges: {current_challenges} For each SWOT component, provide: STRENGTHS (Internal positive factors): - List 6-8 key strengths - Explain how each creates competitive advantage - Rate importance (High/Medium/Low) WEAKNESSES (Internal negative factors): - List 5-7 weaknesses - Impact on competitiveness - Urgency of fixing (High/Medium/Low) OPPORTUNITIES (External positive factors): - Market opportunities (5-7) - Technology trends - Market gaps - Growth potential for each THREATS (External negative factors): - Competitive threats - Market trends - Regulatory risks - Economic factors - Impact severity (High/Medium/Low) Then provide: - Strategic implications summary - Priority action items based on SWOT - 3-year strategic recommendations - Risk mitigation strategies Format as a strategic document with clear sections and actionable recommendations.

You are a competitive intelligence analyst. Analyze the competitor {competitor_name} in detail. Provide analysis on: 1. Company Overview - Founded when, headquarters - Leadership team - Company size and growth trajectory 2. Products/Services - Core offerings - Recent product launches - Product roadmap if available - Pricing strategy 3. Market Position - Market share and rank - Key markets served - Customer base characteristics 4. Business Model - Revenue streams - Growth strategy - Partnerships and integrations 5. Strengths - Competitive advantages - Unique capabilities - Brand strengths 6. Weaknesses - Gaps in offerings - Known issues - Customer complaints 7. Threats and Opportunities - Threats to their business - Market opportunities they're pursuing - Regulatory risks 8. Strategic Recommendations - How to compete effectively - Market positioning against them - Differentiation strategy Include specific examples, data points, and recent news. Format as a competitive analysis report with clear sections.